The rapprochement between Israel and Egypt

Every time, the rapprochement between Israel and Egypt is clearer and evident. Four decades have passed since Egypt decided to set up to negotiating a pace with Israel in 1979, as a consequence of the disastrous final to them in the Yom Kippur war in 1973.

It was there the beginning of the relation between these two powers. Nevertheless, with the Honsi Mubarak fail in 2011 and the raise to the power to the Islamic one of Mohamed Mursi (perceived as a clear threat for Israel) of the Muslim Brotherhood, produced a cooling of the relations between these two countries.

The cooperation among Israel and Egypt has improved notably since Al- Sisi took the control of the Egypt government in 2013.

Nowadays, both are working together against the jihadist insurgency of the Sinai, where the allies of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant have being gained force in the last years. The relation, in this matter, has turned so narrow that, according to Al Jazeera sources, “Israel is Israel carrying out drone strikes in Sinai with Egypt’s consent”.

Even, their common objectives have increased showing a clear hostility against the one that is considerate the common enemy: the Hamas organization. Egypt accused Hamas of being linked to Muslim Brotherhood organization, while Israel thinks that is a threat to his existence.

It is necessary to remember that Hamas not only does no recognize the Israel State, but one of his declared objectives is his destruction (to throw them to the sea).

This rapprochement between these both frontier countries has created a instability climate with some Arabic countries that considerer Egypt “a traitor” for giving the hand to his great enemy and, even not recognized by many nations of the Arabic world, the State of Israel.

The principal reason of this approximation owes, principally, to the dependence that has Egypt with the International Monetary Fund, which approved a rescue of 11 million dollars. The origin of this deep crisis originated in 2012 during the first year of government of Mohamed Morsi. He drifted apart from key institutions and form several sector of the society and he was not solving the economic and social problems of the country. On the contrary, this managed to polarize and to divide the country between the sympathizes with Morsi and his opponents. This gave place to many revolts and protests that it would finish with a coup and the fall of Morsi in 2011.

Morsi generated an instability in Egypt, which provoked a collapse in the sources of income that there took that the reservations(reserves) of currencies were placing in approximately 17.500 million dollars, far below of 36.000 million that existed in the arks of the State before the revolution of 2011.

With this rescue and an immediate disbursement of 2.750 million dollars the IMF tries to reduce the national debt, to control the inflation and to help to the poor.

It is important to be done an idea of the economic problems of a country as Egypt. In 1950 the African country had 20,8 MM of inhabitants. Nowadays his population is 91,5 MM and the forecast for 2030 is to approach 117 MM. Comparatively Spain in 1950 had 27,8 MM of inhabitants and in 2016 it has 46 MM, with forecast of being kept stable in the next 20 years. In comparison the GDP of Spain in 1950 was 3.600 MM € and in 2015 it overcame slightly 1.091.000 MM €. In another side Egypt had a GDP estimated of approximately 4.000 MM € in 1950, and, nowadays it has a GDP of 297.600 MM €. It is to say whereas the population of Egypt has multiplied for 4,4, his  economy has grown 74 times, whereas that of Spain it has done 303 times, but his population only has grown 1,65 times.

It is clear that this borrowing has supposed the point of item of the approximation of West to Egypt and has been Israel the country first in savuoring this opening, followed by The United States.

Israel would have accepted the extension of the relations with Egypt when saw an ally key to fight against the insurgency of the IS in the Sinai and as an alternative to try to promote his influence in the Arabic world. With this increasing influence, Palestine would see increasingly difficultly to object and to reject Israel if every time his number of supports was diminishing.

On November 2 of the same year, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, said to the Italian president, Sergio Mattarella, that the peace with the Palestinians will come from the Arabic world, with which Israel is reducing his relations in the last years.

“An immense change is taking place in the Arabic world. The change consists of the fact that many Arabic countries do not come to Israel as an enemy, but as an ally, any as an essential ally against the Islamic terrorism and the politically active Islam headed by Iran and the Islamic State “.

Consequently, the problem of not obtaining a peace with Palestine is not in the Israeli accessions in zones of West Bank and Jerusalem – accessions that can be seen as an attempt on the part of Israel to become institutionalized the beginning of the “exchange of lands “, that it admits to these regime as a Jewish State and anyone eliminates opportunity and right to the return of the displaced Palestinians – but in that the Palestinian president Mahmud Abas, has to recognize Israel as ” Jewish State “. This one is one of the demands of the Israeli prime minister, who blocks the restart of negotiations from 2014.

Abas, already has rejected the possibility of recognizing Israel as Jewish State, because he thinks that it would be equivalent to deny the “right to the return” of the Palestinians who went into exile in 1948 when Israel’s State was created. Law that would be equivalent to expel Israel of the world, without accepting the resolution of his creation for the United Nations.

Therefore, an Israeli approximation with certain Arabic countries might create a “axis of relatively moderate states” what would allow to asphyxiate Iran creating a base for the regional cooperation against him. This would feed the conflict between the Arabs and Iran, in such a way that it would lead to the destruction of both enemies of Israel at the same time “, there declared Modallah, Israeli analyst, to the periodic Al Jazeera.

This might be translate in that all the countries endorsed by Occident (Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and several of the Gulf States, as well as Jordan and Morocco)have the same common enemies (Syria, Iran, IS, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood). Therefore the rapprochement Egyptian-Israeli might suppose the begging to a major collaboration of these countries to finish with the instability of the zone, generating by the terrorism and stimulating the very needy economics of the Arabic countries in order that Middle East, the Maghreb and part of Africa was returning to be a safe zone and it was returning of this form the inversions and the tourism that, in many case, was constituting almost his principal source of currencies. Source that, nowadays, is almost blocked up by the conflicts and the instability and wars.

Often, a common enemy can do that another enemy is your ally.